You can see that the strike rate is pretty consistent and that you would have lost a small percentage of your turnover if you had backed them all and slightly less if you had layed them all. Some people even stick to betting systems that require them to follow the jockey guide. Hong Kong racing uses a parimutuel (also known as "totalizer") system. If the horse was close to the pace, went off at odds lower than 10-1 or experienced some degree of trouble in its . Carryovers will happen whenever a Pick 5 or Pick 6 bet, for example, at that race track is not won that day. If you find a system that is a winner, DONT TELL ANYONE. Inexperienced punters tend to come in fast and hard; they bet recklessly without any systems in place and then land up burning themselves out financially, leading to significant issues in their personal lives. These horse racing systems can be complicated at times and require more details to completely understand, but the only thing you should care about at the end of the day is your investment return. You also have to know, you're not going to be running around in a Ferrari with a beach-fronted house in the background any time soon off the back of your system, like the guys in the adverts selling them are. Be aware of the slightest change. Such qualifiers produced the following set of results: 244 winners from 14718 runners and 6,071 to 1 level stakes, A 1.64% strike rate with 8% placing and the Return on Investment was 41%. Now you should be able to find the best horse racing system for free with ease! As promised, today were going to take a look at the best free horse racing systems that you can get and start using today. If you simply look at a paper and pick a horse you will hit only slightly better than average. A, are the creme de la creme, F are the nags and no hopers. Every single little aspect of your system. Look at your results every day. People who back favourites tend to assume that each favourite has the best chance in the race. Do you know what the strike rate of your system is, do you know what level of return on investment to expect? If you lose, go on to the next day with a rueful smile and the same value bet. From the Dutching System to the Statistical Lay, you can certainly find one you like. He is out of pocket and scanning the paper for a DEAD CERT favourite to recoup the losses. You might uncover your very own gem. Have you ever bought a System? It's great to play like this_. Due to this, Ill write it here and share it with you it goes like this: This ones as old as the sport itself but I truly like it for several reasons. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Its full of excellent systems thatll take you to the next level see you there! And here comes your biggest enemy in systematic betting. We would spend $6.00 in wagers. Publication date. Every bet recorded fairly and simply at Betfair SP (less commission), except Hong Kong & Korea which are recorded at Fixed Odds (when navigated) or Vic Tote. All that study of the race and you're one of the few who's managed to pick that big priced winner that no one else has. In. This is mainly because Master Racing Tipster has one of the highest investment returns, which is over 30%. They are not really, and you never will be. Use this methodology mostly on the Group races, with an occasional big handicap selection added into the mix. Bonus Bets winnings are added to Bonus Bets balance. They are boring, almost hobby like. Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Editor-In-Chief with 16 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Without further ado and in no particular order, here are our five favourites 1. Registered Office: 10 Queen Street. You can also using dutching on a betting exchange, such as Betfair, where you can bet against other players, rather than the bookmaker! Looking at those Cheltenham course stats. For any betting system you should allocate yourself an amount as your season's bank, say 100 pounds sterling. I very rarely need to take less then 7-1. The statistics would be way different. All of these free horse racing systems check all of those marks of quality and even go beyond that, offering some truly useful methods that you can learn and use universally. If your chosen horse won in a field of D class racers last time out and this race is an A class race thenbeware- if it is an F class then you are safer. What these systems are designed to do is give you the stats and the correct data to assist you in making a more informed and better decision. They ensure this target is reached by offering odds that are unfair to the bettors, on an average. Are some 6-5 favorites legitimate and worthy of a bet? FAQ's. Is there a profitable 2nd favourite horseracing system? That's right. I have a book that I think will help most Handicappers stop the bleeding but It gets a bad review from a guy who is a 10 % player. The first thing that jumps off the page is the strength of the favourites at the track, excluding NHF races. Draw Avoid favourites that havent got a good draw which is very important at some tracks. His ROI is a steady 13-14% and he averages a profit of 290 per month. If you enjoy betting favourites and winning often join John Burkes Consistent Profits service https://consistentprofits.co.uk. Most profitable horse racing system. Both will get you the same result a bet placed using the best horse racing system that you have found. RB Leipzig boss confirms Nkunku move to Chelsea? So you go to work and back the very next qualifier; LOSE! December 16, 2020. Wouldnt it be nice to find the goose that laid the golden egg? 24 pages. The way to beat this charge is by betting on value odds each time and be selective. Go through them and choose one which suits your style and personal preference for betting. Anyone concerned about problem gambling can contact GamCare on 0845 6000 133 orgamcare.org.ukfor further information. Advice and support is available for you now. Language. Registered in England No. What we are trying to make clear is that betting favorites at short prices is not the most effective way to beat the game. 2. But it's that punter who then hits the three consecutive 7/1 winners to redress the balance long after the other, less patient one, has dumped it, accepted the loss and moved on to repeat the process on the next system, answering the original question with the number 2 answer! This strategy ensures that you will make the same amount of money in every instance when you bet on your selection of horses, regardless of the overall winner. Blue Delta Marketing in no way encourages reckless gambling and it is recommended that readers who engage in gambling do so responsibly and set financial limits. So, the proportion of races won by the favourite is running at a healthy 33%. This does involve some calculations, but the overall idea is pretty simple. There are probably as many horse racing betting systems as there are bettors all over the world. After analysing the three favourites of the race, pick runners with odds between 3.0 and 6.0 and lay against the most underdog in that race. Call 1-800-Gambler 21+. This is not true. Those that use systems, lose with systems. The trick is to see what other factors can help sort out ones with a better chance. That said, to study each one of them is folly. Stick to it religiously do not make the classic losers mistake ofchasing losses. Lampard hints at Aubameyang involvement versus Arsenal, Pep Guardiola 'not interested in signing Neymar', MasterChef Australia judge Jock Zonfrillo dies suddenly, age 46, Prince William 'agrees to fly-on-the-wall documentary', Coronation Street's James Craven: 'Aaron truly believes he's innocent', EastEnders reveals first look at Cheryl Baker cameo, In Pictures: Meet this week's new MasterChef contestants. 2011-2023 Sports Mole Ltd. All rights reserved. No, What you should do is take a paper you trust every day. Many bettors attest to winning more than 80% of their . Even if you get 30 winners from 100 bets, you would need to be getting average odds of 11/8 on each winning favourite to just break even. (if you want to try them, feel free, just mail me 10% if they turn out to be gooduns!). Favorites win about 33% of the time. The number of different selections can range from three as mentioned, all the way up to the entire field! There are computerised algorithms being run continually over results, looking for trends. You can easily do the same thing on your own, and the results can be spectacular. And he is very good at it. Using a horses times for studying the form had previously been viewed as a reliable way to select horses. I cant give you the exact details of the betting systems I use, due to the fact that as soon as details of a successful betting system are shared, any profitability is soon reduced significantly and can be wiped out completely. You could go the more complicated route and think up an entirely new one yourself; or you could read some of the guides and strategies available online. What are your thoughts on Systematic betting? He is a famous tipster that provides tips and strategies that surely will increase your winnings. It's not as horse racing system as such, it's a tipster platform. Therefore, the second rule of a mathematical system is to never make a show bet. Perhaps Mordin's most provocative and telling comments on . Systems can be winners too. Four days or less. You must specialize limit bets know what good races look like. Regardless of how ridiculous an idea for a system is, they all have credence if followed for a certain amount of time. The profits are small but over 12 months ROI is still better than I would get from any bank savings account. -, Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting. In horse racing, statistics can also become a game-changer for you and the way you bet horse at an online racebook. If you find a strategy you like, start with small bets and make sure it works for you. Once complete, and this will take a very powerful computer, something in the region of 8 hours to complete, I will have a data set of literally millions of cells of information, which I will filter and play around with for many many hours before deciding on what the strategy will be for the coming month. What I will do, however, is share with you my research for September across the various race types, age groups and distances I am researching. He is a very canny fellow and his job is to seek to add weight to the best horses to improve the chances of the lesser cattle. These will be his placings over his last six races. Do not deviate and assume five days is okay. Try the ideas on paper first and only gamble what you can afford to lose. Arsenal considering move for Zenit winger Malcom? Golden Egg" system to beat the odds in Horse Racing. ), of information from every Nursery run in the month of September for the past 11 years. You see, just like the lottery, there has to be a winner! I took runners going off at 20/1 & bigger as outsiders. Then the Dutching method might be up your alley. Our return on the 3-1 horse would be $6.00 plus the $2.00 we wagered, so we receive back $8.00. Are there sports that should be avoided for Systems, and why? People tend to believe that in order for them to win, they have to beat the bookies in their own game. Meanwhile looking at the stats for favourites (clear, co & joint) for the 2021 flat season. Also, people who have tried his system from 2015 have experienced a massive gain in profits with only small bets. Updated: Feb 07, 19:00 0 299917 Other, One of the most frequently asked questions about Horse Racing Betting - "Systems, do they work?" If not, go to the nearest bookmakers and tell the first knowledgeable looking cove you come across and ask what these figures mean. It is arguably one of the best horse racing systems around. To start, you need to find a race with quite a few runners, at least ten or more. Those that have used systems, didn't win and don't accept that they can work. Online bookmakers are a quick and easy way to play the horses from the comfort of your home. If I say I have, to retain any credibility I might have I will then have to give you details of a system and potentially kill it. Odds-on favourites won around 58% of their races losing 6.73%. That means they give you access to a number of tipsters all in one place, and you choose which ones you want to subscribe to. The Strategy: Have you ever tought to lay the favourite horse with odds lower than 1.2? If you click through to any of the betting sites or casino sites listed on this site then OLBG may receive a payment. But profits will be slow and steady at best. If you already have a horse betting strategy that you are keen on, then we suggest you view Betfair and see if there are any opportunities within the markets, where you can apply your given strategy, with some extra spice! :: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:6040: Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox. Ipswich, IP1 1SS. The only problem with the latter is that one can expect lengthy losing runs, but one winner in 7 runners is sufficient return. I click through to the Cheltenham course stats and click on the favourites tab. The parlay is one of the most profitable sports betting systems, but not without flaws. Now I can hear you say thats all well and good but how do you eliminate those 40 false favourites? This does involve some calculations, but the overall idea is pretty simple. He literally changed the way the game of baseball was played. Serious bettors work out a detailed plan of action to utilize their available bankroll to its fullest and get the best returns for their bets. Mathematics is the science behind statistical analysis. As you watch the race unfold, run third he does. To check out the premium ones that you can rely on, be sure to read the main horse racing systems article. This in-depth look explores what works and what doesnt. 34.4% of favourites have won their race over the last five years. If you think you have been blocked in error, contact the owner of this site for assistance. Dave, who is married with a daughter, has since moved out of Lexington but still lives in Kentucky. No-one is born a genius, and it stands to reason that any new skill needs to be learned. Privacy Policy: Personal details provided to this site by an individual may be shared with third parties unless requested otherwise. How bout you just mail me your monthly stipend for gambling (you GAMBLE) and at the end of the month I will mail back 1/2 your money, giving you what will, in the long run be your best month(s) over the long haul. Trainers Avoid trainers with low winning strike rates at the track. When a horse is highly touted but beaten in a race, the weight of public opinion often flows . Interestingly, his methodology is best suited to races at 1600m or longer. The easiest way to influence a market is to throw money at it. Why spend money when the information to the best horse racing system ever is right there on the internet, for free? It is assessing every runner, in every race distance. That brings me on to number 3 answer. If you can find a favorite that is 3-1 or better and you think the horse deserves a bet, by all means take a shot. If you want to read a good academic article on the favourite-longshot bias, then I highly recommend: Why is There A Favourite-Longshot Bias in British Racetrack Betting Markets by Leighton Vaughan Williams and David Paton, for the Economic Journal (Jan 1997). You want to stay in the loop on new techniques suitable for the current racing field. 1) Skip the race if one of the top 2 rated is a non runner 2) Skip the race if one of the horses is 'odds on' 3) split your stake with the intention of winning your profit target regardless of which horse wins (there are lots of handy calculators that will work this out for you) Putting it simply bettors overvalue the longshots and undervalue favourites or in other words, favourites are under bet whilst longshots are overbet. Before you tart scoffing, there is real power in mathematics and statistics. Good luck at the races! There is so much depth within the Betfair exchange on horse markets that it is relatively easy for a strategy to be applied, or improved. Chapter Six: 5 Huge Horse Racing Myths Busted, Once and For All Myth # 1: In the Long Term the Bookmaker and Racetracks Always Win62 Myth # 2: If You Start Betting Big, No One Will Take Your Bets63 Myth # 3: You Need to Be at the Tracks and Have Inside Info to Win64 Myth # 4: Racing Tipsters Showing Remarkable Results Should be Used65 In fact, any sort of gambling is a risk, which is why bookmakers keep on reporting huge profits while British gamblers lost a record total of 13.8bn on bets for the year ending . So don't mention it at all, and you win all around. We are sure that one of the systems and strategies below could be the best horse racing system for free for you. Once learned, it then needs to be honed and practiced until a person reaches the master level. However, it shouldnt be like that because backing the right favourites really is the way to long term profits. My Father was a pro and pass his knowledge down to me for months he lived in the 40% at to different distances I can listen to any handicapper for a few minutes and tell if they know about the theories or are money maker. I think your game is probably BINGO or maybe THE SHELL GAME, as you have no grasp on wagering. I can play in the 30-40% with the skills I have if I limit myself to three bets a card, never bet the first three races or fields with less than 7 horses and bet from a list of sires that I know better than the betting public I have hundreds of automatic things that have been optimized over one hundred years because my fathers and my work overlap the guys who cant stick 20 % bet to many of the wrong type races that does not sound sexy so they just dismiss it. Using a strategy just increases your chances as you tend to study the stats, instead of playing without a plan. VAT GB 881 354707. The bookmakers are not fooled all of the time, especially in more of the high-profile races. He gives details of how to systematically go about identifying potential 'class' racehorses and, while his comments are specifically aimed at UK punters, his methods could easily be adapted to Australian racing. It takes a very patient punter to sit through 20 consecutive losers and continue to throw money at the system. Lets say that you like a horse who has odds of 6-1 as a show bet. Format eBook Paperback Quantity Add to cart Most Profitable Horse Racing System That Is Consistent This is a bold statement to make to say the book is the most profitable horse racing system! We stand by the premise which rests at the center of our thoughts on horse betting. (but even in a race of no hopers someone has to win!). It always does. Well if you have an uncertain bet, then so long as the odds are greater than 5-1 against, you can safely make an each way bet. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Throw too much at it, and the odds change, your small edge has now disappeared forever and you won't get it back. Paperback. Do you know the average price of not only the qualifiers but the ones that actually win? I have no idea if either of the aforementioned ideas would work, I haven't checked. I do not subscribe to this school myself. Those rules will then become guiding beacons as you use your system. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Even without sharing your system, eventually, the odds will change against you. From the best odds through every other aspect to consider betting with the right bookmaker is the icing on your horse racing system cake. It calls for intuitive leaps on the part of bettors. Everything about betting race horses involves numbers. Thats all. Show betting is one of the worst mistakes a bettor can make. These people are confident that they have discovered the best horse racing system ever. Well tell you how you can use the best horse racing system; free. Statistics are important in many areas of life. Now many punters, myself included, like the idea of taking a punt on a big priced outsider in a race. The big lesson to learn here is that you must always be conscious of price. If you are prepared to be patient, and shop around, you can find value bets multiple times per day, every day. Laying the groundwork for a mathematical horse race betting system means first making some general observances and turning those observances into rules. So, where do you find the best horse racing system free? Horse racing author Nick Mordin, in his book Winning Without Thinking - A Guide To Horse Race Betting Systems, revealed that a six-year study showed that the higher the class of race, the higher the percentage of narrow winning margins. Part 3 - The final part will focus on the System Builder. Switching from Hurdles to Chases and vice versa. This system is mainly used on horse racing. If you have any ideas on systems you might like me to check back results for, as long as the variables coincide with what my software is capable of, I will run them back if I think there might be something in them. Its assessed by our panel of experts and feedback from successful punters. It is only if there are several four day horses on any one day that you should look for the best chance by reference to the other factors referred to above or check the opinion of a similar system. Horse racing betting systems are used by thousands of punters across the country eager to improve their chances of winning a bet. Each system has varying wagers depending on the principle behind the strategy, such as the Dutching system, where you back two or more outcomes with payouts that cover your stake. While free horse racing systems all suffer from the same fault wide use and unfavorable skewing of odds you can still learn a lot from them and theyre nice introductions to other more advanced systems. What I am looking for are races where favourites have a good win strike rate, I look for 40% and above. The table below shows the data for all UK races and the data shows the strike rate and returns for the clear favourite in the Betfair market at the off. But here is one betting system that has stood the test of time. However, it doesn't really matter as long as you know what type of horse racing betting system it belongs to. Ever since the dawn of handicapping, race bettors have been looking for shortcuts. Its a great way for seasoned punters to perfect their current system and come up with their best horse racing system free. As well as horse racing, he is a huge Cincinnati Bengals fan as well as other equine events such as three-day eventing. Most Profitable Horse Racing System 9.99 Tax included. And third, its a pretty solid helping hand even if its free and widely used. That's the biggest problem with systems. You already know that favorites on the track do not win their fair share of races. Lets take a look at the top rated ones and where you can find more similar to them. 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To see if the favourite-longshot bias was still happening I took a look at the stats for the 2021 Flat season, as I thought the picture painted of winning longshots isnt a good one. By not following public opinion, you could quietly make a nice profit from a cleverly placed bet on what is naturally a good runner, but at better odds. WINNER 10/1! In the most disparaging of fashion, I can testify that those punters that fall into categories 1 & 2 don't know what they are doing, and those in No3 do, but can't prove it. We explore the various types of systems available and try to whittle it down to the best horse racing system. Bonus Bet wager excluded from returns. The returns have been and are currently fantastic, with an average 22.8% ROI. Its simple, straightforward, well-explained and absolutely free. How you can use the site to profile a horse and find big race trends. Dont feel pressured into making big bets, or betting money you cant afford to lose. Unless you know that the tipster is genuine and has been checked and recommended by other punters, its best not to waste your money. Start observing the statistics at your local racing circuit, and you might be surprised to find a bet or two. Clearly, selecting qualifiers who are top-rated using the Postdata calculation produces a slightly improved profit figure and has effectively doubled the ROI at LSP. He has won ten races when the track is dry and fast. Jockeys Avoid favourites not ridden by a top jockey. Seeing those results, looking on with disdain at favourite backers doesnt really make sense. Pam Sly Entries Today + When to Back Them, Longest Travellers Horse Racing Today We Have Todays Travellers & a System to Profit From Them. Should a bettor pass a race when they have no clear opinion? All PayPal transactions are subject to the PayPal Privacy Policy The key, of course, if you want to back favourites for a living or for profit is to find the right favourites to back. We have an excellent horse racing systems forum where many of our members including MOB are trialling and discussing their systems. It will catch up. Book excerpt: This UK and Irish Handicap horse racing betting system contains 4 simple steps to identify potential winning horses in a horse race. Now its over 25-years-old but its relevance remains and its an excellent nine-page introduction to the phenomenon. It seems like a never-ending quest. After logging in you can close it and return to this page. Taking this a bit further. While times are still effective to follow, the confusion comes when the track surface is affected with variable factors that can alter the surfaces speed, such as rain fall. Global Horse Racing Market Report 2023 is spread across 114 pages and provides exclusive vital statistics, data, information, trends and competitive landscape details in this niche sector . To take a look at the best paid ones, which you can actually rely on for consistent profit, be sure to read the main horse systems article. Hey Ho. Bet AlchemistIf you're looking to improve your horse racing strike rate, then look no further than Bet Alchemist. When you place a bet you are NOT LOOKING AT ODDS.. You are looking at the odds compared to the horses realistic chance of winning. When I tell people what the keys are to get to forty percent for long Runs, they think it is too simple, so they dismiss it and have never really tried it.